Standings
Group stage standings for FIFA World Cup 2026
Favorites and Qualification Chances for Every Round to the Final
World Cup Predictor: Favorites and Chances to Reach Every Round Through the Final
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| Team | Groups | R32 | R16 | Quarters | Semis | Champion |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1  Spain | 99.8% | 82.5% | 66.4% | 53.5% | 42.8% | 29.3% |
2  Argentina | 99.0% | 74.7% | 54.2% | 35.8% | 28.2% | 17.4% |
3  France | 97.5% | 65.7% | 44.5% | 24.9% | 17.6% | 9.7% |
4  Brazil | 97.6% | 74.0% | 53.7% | 36.5% | 15.8% | 7.5% |
5  England | 98.6% | 66.0% | 34.1% | 18.8% | 12.5% | 6.3% |
6  Portugal | 95.5% | 54.0% | 28.2% | 13.2% | 7.9% | 3.6% |
7  Colombia | 95.3% | 51.4% | 27.0% | 12.8% | 7.3% | 3.3% |
8  Ecuador | 97.9% | 67.2% | 39.2% | 14.2% | 7.2% | 2.9% |
9  Germany | 97.8% | 64.9% | 36.9% | 13.5% | 6.5% | 2.5% |
10  Netherlands | 95.0% | 48.3% | 18.9% | 11.1% | 5.6% | 2.3% |
11  Turkey | 88.8% | 57.4% | 35.2% | 18.0% | 6.1% | 2.2% |
12  Switzerland | 98.3% | 57.3% | 33.9% | 16.4% | 5.2% | 1.8% |
13  Norway | 87.9% | 43.3% | 20.0% | 9.6% | 3.9% | 1.4% |
14  Croatia | 95.1% | 41.9% | 17.1% | 7.8% | 3.4% | 1.3% |
15  Mexico | 94.8% | 49.8% | 24.7% | 13.0% | 3.8% | 1.3% |
16  Belgium | 95.1% | 47.8% | 25.4% | 8.0% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
17  Japan | 91.9% | 36.4% | 14.4% | 7.7% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
18  Uruguay | 94.9% | 46.9% | 13.5% | 6.8% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
19  Senegal | 80.9% | 39.4% | 19.5% | 9.8% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
20  Morocco | 85.8% | 45.7% | 18.9% | 8.9% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
21  Paraguay | 77.5% | 40.6% | 19.5% | 8.3% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
22  Canada | 93.8% | 40.4% | 16.1% | 5.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
23  Scotland | 78.6% | 37.4% | 15.0% | 6.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
24  Austria | 77.5% | 28.9% | 9.6% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
25  Australia | 64.8% | 30.2% | 12.6% | 4.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
26  Sweden | 53.6% | 17.8% | 6.2% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
27  Algeria | 60.1% | 22.1% | 7.9% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
28  Panama | 68.4% | 25.6% | 9.5% | 3.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
29  Czech Rep. | 78.5% | 29.0% | 10.6% | 3.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
30  USA | 47.4% | 20.0% | 7.3% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
31  South Korea | 82.2% | 30.0% | 11.0% | 4.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
32  Uzbekistan | 47.7% | 17.2% | 6.2% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
33  Iran | 82.9% | 29.6% | 10.8% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
34  Ivory Coast | 63.0% | 26.1% | 8.6% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
35  Bosnia-Herz. | 49.3% | 13.2% | 3.1% | 0.6% | — | — |
36  Qatar | 11.4% | 1.4% | 0.2% | — | — | — |
37  Haiti | 13.7% | 3.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | — | — |
38  South Africa | 17.6% | 3.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | — | — |
39  Curacao | 6.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% | — | — | — |
40  Tunisia | 27.2% | 7.3% | 1.8% | 0.4% | — | — |
41  Cape Verde | 21.2% | 5.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% | — | — |
42  Saudi Arabia | 19.0% | 4.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | — | — |
43  Egypt | 63.6% | 20.8% | 6.7% | 1.6% | 0.2% | — |
44  New Zealand | 24.5% | 5.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% | — | — |
45  Jordan | 31.4% | 9.8% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | — |
46  Iraq | 15.1% | 4.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | — | — |
47  DR Congo | 27.5% | 8.9% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | — |
48  Ghana | 8.9% | 1.6% | 0.3% | — | — | — |